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Résultats pour
brevets
1.
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METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR AUTOMATED LOCATION DEPENDENT NATURAL DISASTER FORECAST
Numéro de document |
02786303 |
Statut |
Délivré - en vigueur |
Date de dépôt |
2010-01-19 |
Date de disponibilité au public |
2011-07-28 |
Date d'octroi |
2015-01-06 |
Propriétaire |
SWISS REINSURANCE COMPANY LTD. (Suisse)
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Inventeur(s) |
- Guatteri, Maria Giovanna
- Da Victoria Lobo, Nikhil
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Abrégé
The invention relates to a forecast system (5) and method for automated location dependent natural disaster impact forecast, whereas natural disaster events are measured by located gauging stations (401,..., 422). Location dependent measurement parameters for specific geotectonic, topographic or meteorological conditions associated with the natural disaster are determined and critical values of the measurement parameters are triggered to generate a dedicated event signal (31/32) for forecasted impacts of the disaster event within an area of interest. In particular, the signal generation is based upon the affected population or object within the area of interest.
Classes IPC ?
- G08B 21/10 - Alarmes pour assurer la sécurité des personnes réagissant aux événements désastreux, p.ex. les tornades ou les tremblements de terre
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2.
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METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR AUTOMATED LOCATION DEPENDENT PROBABILISTIC TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST
Numéro de document |
02556985 |
Statut |
Délivré - en vigueur |
Date de dépôt |
2004-06-01 |
Date de disponibilité au public |
2005-09-09 |
Date d'octroi |
2010-10-19 |
Propriétaire |
SWISS REINSURANCE COMPANY LTD. (Suisse)
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Inventeur(s) |
- Bresch, David N.
- Heck, Pamela
- Lemcke, Gerry
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Abrégé
The invention relates to a method for automated location dependent probabilistic tropical cyclone forecast, whereas a plurality of new data records representative of alternative tracks are generated based of historical tracks by means of a fist MonteCarlo-module, wherein points of the new data records are generated from said points along the historical track by a dependent sampling process, whereas a intensity climatology is generated, based upon the intensity data associated with at least some of the plurality of points along the historical tracks located within a certain grid cell, whereas now intensity data are generated by means of a second MonteCarlo- module, wherein the new intensity data are generated from the intensity data associated with at least some of the plurality of points along the historical tracks by a MonteCarlo sampling process, whereas the distribution of the historical tracks are reproduced by a filtering module within the new or accumulated data records, and whereas a wind field of each data record is generated and a probability is assigned by a interpolationmodule to each point in said grid, giving the probability of the occurrence of a specific wind strength at a given geographical location and time.
Classes IPC ?
- G01W 1/10 - Dispositifs pour la prévision des conditions météorologiques
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